Churchill Polar Bears vs Oregon Capybaras - west

CPHomeChurchill Polar Bears

7–3Final

OCAwayOregon Capybaras - west

Feb 16, 2022 · West Division · The Hog Hole

MVP damoni · 7.1 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Churchill Polar BearsvsOregon Capybaras - west

7Shots613

12Saves120

5Faceoffs won5

16Takeaways1632

36Turnovers↓2610

7Blocks61

19Passes1433

1:37Possession2:023:39

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Churchill Polar Bears

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
CHU Oil	0	1	1	0	3	1	4	3	14	4	6	0:25	80	5.22	7.86
CHU Smishy	5	1	6	5	3	2	3	7	9	1	9	0:24	137	7.94	8.19
damoni	2	3	5	2	6	2	1	6	13	2	4	0:48	145	8.13	8.86

Oregon Capybaras - west

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Iggi Zoink	0	0	0	2	1	0	6	0	0	4	0:45	31	2.95	4.57
Cole	2	1	3	10	4	1	18	6	0	26	2:13	128	3.58	5.41
Curt	0	1	1	1	0	2	8	4	1	3	0:41	50	5.89	5.92

CHU Oil Churchill Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.08	1.94	0.23	-1.077	-0.248
Assists	1	1.42	1.53	0.19	-0.278	-0.053
Shots	0	3.89	3.35	0.09	-1.163	-0.105
Passes	6	12.67	7.05	0.08	-0.946	-0.076
Saves	3	1.8	2.29	0.19	0.522	0.099
Blocks	4	0.64	0.97	0.11	3.467	0.381
Takeaways	3	5.23	4.38	0.11	-0.509	-0.056

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.056 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.887, then −0.3 turnovers → 5.6

Pucker+80

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.441	0.291	0.32	0.093
Shots	0	3.892	0	0.08	0
Saves	3	1.804	1.663	0.15	0.249
Blocks	4	0.641	6.245	0.07	0.437
Takeaways	3	5.229	0.574	0.12	0.069
Passes	6	12.67	0.474	0.08	0.038
Faceoff win rate	0.2	0.501	0.399	0.03	0.012

Σ 0.898 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.057 − 0.255 turnover penalty = 0.802 → ×100 = 80.17 → 80

Offensive5.22

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.04	0.106	0.4	1.515
Shooting %	0	0.536	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.167	0.112	0.4	3.117

Σ contribution = 5.222

Defensive7.86

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	1.804	8.322	0.3	2.496
Blocks	4	0.641	10	0.2	2
Takeaways	3	5.229	4.391	0.25	1.098
Goals conceded	3	6.601	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 7.856

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

CHU Smishy Churchill Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	5	2.08	1.94	0.23	1.505	0.346
Assists	1	1.42	1.53	0.19	-0.278	-0.053
Shots	5	3.89	3.35	0.09	0.331	0.03
Passes	9	12.67	7.05	0.08	-0.521	-0.042
Saves	3	1.8	2.29	0.19	0.522	0.099
Blocks	1	0.64	0.97	0.11	0.371	0.041
Takeaways	7	5.23	4.38	0.11	0.404	0.044

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.466 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.932, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers → 6.9

Pucker+137

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	6	3.441	1.744	0.32	0.558
Shots	5	3.892	1.285	0.08	0.103
Saves	3	1.804	1.663	0.15	0.249
Blocks	1	0.641	1.561	0.07	0.109
Takeaways	7	5.229	1.339	0.12	0.161
Passes	9	12.67	0.71	0.08	0.057
Faceoff win rate	0.4	0.501	0.798	0.03	0.024

Σ 1.261 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.483 − 0.11 turnover penalty = 1.373 → ×100 = 137.29 → 137

Offensive7.94

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.25	0.106	0.4	3.801
Shooting %	1	0.536	0.2	1.76
Assists per pass	0.111	0.112	0.4	2.381

Σ contribution = 7.942

Defensive8.19

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	1.804	8.322	0.3	2.496
Blocks	1	0.641	8.036	0.2	1.607
Takeaways	7	5.229	7.305	0.25	1.826
Goals conceded	3	6.601	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 8.191

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

damoni Churchill Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.08	1.94	0.23	-0.044	-0.01
Assists	3	1.42	1.53	0.19	1.03	0.196
Shots	2	3.89	3.35	0.09	-0.565	-0.051
Passes	4	12.67	7.05	0.08	-1.23	-0.098
Saves	6	1.8	2.29	0.19	1.83	0.348
Blocks	2	0.64	0.97	0.11	1.403	0.154
Takeaways	6	5.23	4.38	0.11	0.176	0.019

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.558 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.115, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers → 7.1

Pucker+145

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	3.441	1.453	0.32	0.465
Shots	2	3.892	0.514	0.08	0.041
Saves	6	1.804	3.326	0.15	0.499
Blocks	2	0.641	3.122	0.07	0.219
Takeaways	6	5.229	1.147	0.12	0.138
Passes	4	12.67	0.316	0.08	0.025
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.501	1.331	0.03	0.04

Σ 1.426 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.678 − 0.226 turnover penalty = 1.452 → ×100 = 145.19 → 145

Offensive8.13

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.104	0.106	0.4	2.371
Shooting %	1	0.536	0.2	1.76
Assists per pass	0.75	0.112	0.4	4

Σ contribution = 8.131

Defensive8.86

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	6	1.804	9.924	0.3	2.977
Blocks	2	0.641	9.887	0.2	1.977
Takeaways	6	5.229	6.586	0.25	1.646
Goals conceded	3	6.601	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 8.862

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Iggi Zoink Oregon Capybaras - west

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.08	1.94	0.23	-1.077	-0.248
Assists	0	1.42	1.53	0.19	-0.932	-0.177
Shots	2	3.89	3.35	0.09	-0.565	-0.051
Passes	4	12.67	7.05	0.08	-1.23	-0.098
Saves	0	1.8	2.29	0.19	-0.787	-0.149
Blocks	0	0.64	0.97	0.11	-0.661	-0.073
Takeaways	6	5.23	4.38	0.11	0.176	0.019

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.777 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.446, then −0.2 cold shooting → 4.2

Pucker+31

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	3.441	0	0.32	0
Shots	2	3.892	0.514	0.08	0.041
Saves	0	1.804	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.641	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	6	5.229	1.147	0.12	0.138
Passes	4	12.67	0.316	0.08	0.025
Faceoff win rate	1	0.501	1.996	0.03	0.06

Σ 0.264 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.311 → ×100 = 31.05 → 31

Offensive2.95

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.106	0.4	1.181
Shooting %	0.536	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.112	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 2.954

Defensive4.57

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	1.804	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.641	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	6	5.229	6.586	0.25	1.646
Goals conceded	7	6.601	5.772	0.25	1.443

Σ contribution = 4.566

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Cole Oregon Capybaras - west

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.08	1.94	0.23	-0.044	-0.01
Assists	1	1.42	1.53	0.19	-0.278	-0.053
Shots	10	3.89	3.35	0.09	1.825	0.164
Passes	26	12.67	7.05	0.08	1.891	0.151
Saves	0	1.8	2.29	0.19	-0.787	-0.149
Blocks	0	0.64	0.97	0.11	-0.661	-0.073
Takeaways	18	5.23	4.38	0.11	2.916	0.321

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.351 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.702, then +0.3 takeaways, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 6.5

Pucker+128

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.441	0.872	0.32	0.279
Shots	10	3.892	2.569	0.08	0.206
Saves	0	1.804	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.641	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	18	5.229	3.442	0.12	0.413
Passes	26	12.67	2.052	0.08	0.164
Faceoff win rate	0.8	0.501	1.597	0.03	0.048

Σ 1.11 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.306 − 0.024 turnover penalty = 1.282 → ×100 = 128.19 → 128

Offensive3.58

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.023	0.106	0.4	1.349
Shooting %	0.2	0.536	0.2	0.755
Assists per pass	0.038	0.112	0.4	1.477

Σ contribution = 3.581

Defensive5.41

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	1.804	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.641	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	18	5.229	9.94	0.25	2.485
Goals conceded	7	6.601	5.772	0.25	1.443

Σ contribution = 5.405

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Curt Oregon Capybaras - west

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.08	1.94	0.23	-1.077	-0.248
Assists	1	1.42	1.53	0.19	-0.278	-0.053
Shots	1	3.89	3.35	0.09	-0.864	-0.078
Passes	3	12.67	7.05	0.08	-1.372	-0.11
Saves	0	1.8	2.29	0.19	-0.787	-0.149
Blocks	1	0.64	0.97	0.11	0.371	0.041
Takeaways	8	5.23	4.38	0.11	0.633	0.07

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.527 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.946, then −0.2 cold shooting → 4.7

Pucker+50

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.441	0.291	0.32	0.093
Shots	1	3.892	0.257	0.08	0.021
Saves	0	1.804	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1	0.641	1.561	0.07	0.109
Takeaways	8	5.229	1.53	0.12	0.184
Passes	3	12.67	0.237	0.08	0.019
Faceoff win rate	0	0.501	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.425 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.5 → ×100 = 50.04 → 50

Offensive5.89

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.024	0.106	0.4	1.365
Shooting %	0	0.536	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.333	0.112	0.4	3.938

Σ contribution = 5.894

Defensive5.92

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	1.804	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	1	0.641	8.036	0.2	1.607
Takeaways	8	5.229	7.942	0.25	1.985
Goals conceded	7	6.601	5.772	0.25	1.443

Σ contribution = 5.921

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.